Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.030043 0.032383 0.034830 0.037585 0.040604 0.043816 0.047497
2025-02-09 0.026047 0.029337 0.032964 0.037273 0.042271 0.047908 0.054774
2025-02-16 0.023431 0.027268 0.031667 0.037114 0.043715 0.051507 0.061476
2025-02-23 0.021415 0.025580 0.030507 0.036813 0.044737 0.054454 0.067408
2025-03-02 0.019946 0.024358 0.029720 0.036782 0.045941 0.057554 0.073618
2025-03-09 0.018511 0.023034 0.028659 0.036253 0.046374 0.059591 0.078480
2025-03-16 0.017210 0.021772 0.027558 0.035544 0.046451 0.061075 0.082605
2025-03-23 0.016222 0.020837 0.026801 0.035202 0.046942 0.063083 0.087533
2025-03-30 0.015354 0.019998 0.026104 0.034869 0.047381 0.064996 0.092403
2025-04-06 0.014452 0.019058 0.025206 0.034184 0.047248 0.066037 0.095999
2025-04-13 0.013996 0.018696 0.025072 0.034549 0.048624 0.069332 0.103240
2025-04-20 0.013452 0.018180 0.024687 0.034516 0.049388 0.071732 0.109227
2025-04-27 0.013079 0.017891 0.024611 0.034938 0.050871 0.075345 0.117501
2025-05-04 0.012506 0.017285 0.024049 0.034596 0.051151 0.077082 0.122797
2025-05-11 0.012029 0.016796 0.023629 0.034438 0.051695 0.079254 0.128983
2025-05-18 0.011554 0.016287 0.023152 0.034160 0.052017 0.081066 0.134657
2025-05-25 0.011179 0.015908 0.022849 0.034132 0.052731 0.083556 0.141728
2025-06-01 0.010713 0.015372 0.022281 0.033648 0.052654 0.084681 0.146362
2025-06-08 0.010237 0.014800 0.021632 0.032999 0.052257 0.085212 0.149899
2025-06-15 0.009871 0.014382 0.021205 0.032686 0.052406 0.086702 0.155378
2025-06-22 0.009528 0.013988 0.020796 0.032381 0.052546 0.088170 0.160920
2025-06-29 0.009132 0.013496 0.020212 0.031753 0.052080 0.088495 0.164172
2025-07-06 0.008970 0.013364 0.020199 0.032088 0.053337 0.092081 0.174404